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April 17, 2021

RSS Aswath Damodaran’s Musings on Markets

  • Interest Rates, Earning Growth and Equity Value: Investment Implications March 25, 2021
    The first quarter of 2021 has been, for the most part, a good time for equity markets, but there have been surprises. The first has been the steep rise in treasury rates in the last twelve weeks, as investors reassess expected economic growth over the rest of the year and worry about inflation. The second […]
  • Data Update 4 for 2021: The Hurdle Rate Question! February 10, 2021
    What is a hurdle rate for a business? There are multiple definitions that you will see offered, from it being the cost of raising capital for that business to an opportunity cost, i.e., a return that you can make investing elsewhere, to a required return for investors in that business. In a sense, each of […]
  • The Price-Value Feedback Loop: A Look at GME and AMC! February 3, 2021
    There are three topics that you can write or talk about that are almost guaranteed to draw a audience, stocks (because greed drives us all), sex (no reason needed) and salvation. I am not an expert on the latter two, and I am not sure that I have that much that is original to say […]
  • The Storming of the Bastille: The Reddit Crowd targets the Hedge Funds! January 29, 2021
    I generally try to stay out of fights, especially when they become mud-wrestling contests, but the battle between the hedge funds and Reddit investors just too juicy to ignore. As you undoubtedly know, the last few days have been filled with news stories of how small investors, brought together on online forums, have not only […]
  • Data Update 3 for 2021: Currencies, Commodities, Collectibles and Cryptos January 28, 2021
    In my last post, I described the wild ride that the price of risk took in 2020, with equity risk premiums and default spreads initially sky rocketing, as the virus led to global economic shutdowns, and then just as abruptly dropping back to pre-crisis levels over the course of the year. As stock and bond […]
  • Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk! January 20, 2021
    Investors are constantly in search of a single metric that will tell them whether a market is under or over valued, and consequently whether they should buying or selling holdings in that market. With equities, the metric that has been in use the longest is the PE ratio, modified in recent years to the CAPE, […]
  • Marking Time: A new year, a fresh semester and its class time! January 12, 2021
    As we approach the turn of the calendar year, I have my own set of rituals that prepare me for the new year. Last week, was my data week, where I download and analyze data on all publicly traded companies, listed anywhere in the world, and I will post extensively on what the numbers look […]
  • Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)! January 9, 2021
    I spent the first week of 2021 in the same way that I have spent the first week of every year since 1995, collecting data on publicly traded companies and analyzing how they navigated the cross currents of the prior year, both in operating and market value terms. I knew that this year would be […]
  • The Sharing Economy come home: The IPO of Airbnb! December 2, 2020
    On Monday, November 16, Airbnb filed it’s preliminary prospectus with the SEC, starting the clock on its long awaited initial public offering. On the same day, rising COVID cases caused more shut downs and restrictions around the world, creating a clear disconnect. Why would a company that derives its value from short term rentals by […]

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warren buffett swimming naked quote

When financial institutions swim naked

December 4, 2014

“You only learn who has been swimming naked when the tide goes out…” This quote comes from Warren Buffett in his letter (February 2008) to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders for Year 2007. Mr Buffet was commenting on the woes facing financial institutions. Here is an excerpt: “Some major financial institutions have, however, experienced staggering problems because

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